India could see mild Covid-19 third wave by early next year: Experts

New Delhi, 6/12: India could see a mild third wave which will peak in the early part of next year, according to experts who have been modelling the pandemic.


The determination was made by the government-backed model, SUTRA model (short for Susceptible, Undetected, Tested (positive), and Removed Approach). Helmed by Professor Manindra Agrawal of IIT Kanpur, the model shows that the outbreak may peak around the first week of February before case numbers start to decline.


Professor Agrawal stated that the peak of the mild third wave could see between one to one lakh to 1.5 lakh infections per day in India. In contrast, the country was registering about four lakh cases per day at the peak of the second wave.

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